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Saturday, May 17, 2008

Japan is running out of Engineers

Since the bubble burst in the early 90's, people have been fearful of the instability of the economy here, and been pushing their kids even further to make them competitive in the modern workplace.

Japanese parent's needn't worry though, because Japan's single greatest woe is a depleting workforce. That spells trouble for the country as a whole...but on the bright side, if you're a young native Japanese with an education looking for a job, the future actually looks quite good. The country makes so many exports that the economy is larger than the domestic work force. In the past, there were so many people that everything was competitive. These days, minimal qualifications make you very, very hireable.

For example, Japan now faces a serious shortage of engineers to power its high tech economy. Young engineering grads are reporting that they don't need to go find jobs, because jobs find them, and come with cushy sign-on incentives. Companies like Panasonic are even doing the unthinkable, and hiring foreign engineers. But the preference will always be for native Japanese employees.

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Graduation Day

Playing catch-up with all kinds of pictures and other stuff from the past few months. Still have a Yakushima trip to upload. Here's graduation at the trade college I used to work at from late March. These girls saw big jumps in their English ability in their first year, about a 100 point increase on the TOEIC test, average. Most university ESL programs would love to boast that kind of success rate.

Reminds me of a student I saw there a year after my last class with him. He was the lowest level student there, and basically seemed to be coming just to fill in time after high school, as is the custom in Japan (you're expected to have some schooling after high school in Japan...there's even a dog-walkers college). He slept through a lot of classes, and didn't come much. The unwritten rule was if his attendance was at a certain rate, he would be passed through the system with a C. The day of the exam he didn't come. Another student called him, and it turned out he was still in bed and forgot all about it. We had to wait 45 minutes to start for him to come in (Try doing that at the university I work at now...hah!)

Anyway, here's the point- his homeroom teacher had always been very concerned about him and very kind to him, and always invited him to come into the staffroom and chat. He hung out a lot and enjoyed our company and got a kick out of us, even if he never actually spoke English. I remember when I sang at the school Karaoke festival...he might not have woke up for the exam, but you can be sure he showed up bright and early to see that.

His English slowly began to get better as he began to pay moderately more attention in class, and he broke out of the typical apathy you often see among low level students here that don't see a real future for themselves anyway and just give up without trying. He began to participate in activities more. That summer, under encouragement, he went to New Zealand for 3 months.

When I talked to him at Graduation, we talked entirely in smooth, comfortable English. It was like meeting and talking to a different person. I was so proud of him, and amazed at how things had changed in the two years.

The moral? As educators, we focus so much on teaching strategies, and devote hundreds of hours to researching, say, whether or not a certain method of learning vocabulary has any statistically significant advantage, however slight, over a somewhat different method. We pursue careers sorting out these things. And yet, so often, the most meaningful and important gains we see among our students spring ultimately from our relationships with them.

Sunday, May 11, 2008

An Open Letter to Obama critic Steve Sailer

If you're not aware of who he is, Steve Sailer is a conservative, Academically-racist writer for a variety of conservative publications (Think lesser versions of the National Review, such as American Conservative). Most of his writing, to one degree or another, focuses on race and IQ. In a recent column for example, he argued that blacks prefer basketball to golf because it is less cognitively demanding. It could just be me and my inability to parse through all that he writes, but his more controversial articles seem to not turn up when I search for them months later. Perhaps he thinks better of it and takes them down?

Anyway, as you can imagine, Sailer has been having a field day writing about the presumptive Democrat nominee, Barack Obama. In particular, he pores over Obama's first book, the racially-charged memoir Dreams From My Father, in nearly obesessive detail. The quotes and synopses are so extensive it's a good way to read Obama's story for free, actually.

In the past few months he has come at Obama in his pondering, slow to the point way from almost every conceivable angle, save actual analysis of his policies. I can't be bothered to search through it and link to it all right now, but here's a fairly typical recent column. I've tuned in to his work in bemused curiousity off and on since college, but never seen him so fixated on a single person, yet so at a loss to articulate his concerns. I've begun to get a little worried about him, and thought I'd write him something.


Steve-

While you've been mining Dreams from my Father for a while, the focus of your criticisms seems to have shifted somewhat.

In the past, the implication seemed to be that underneath the veneer, Obama was essentially an angry black man, and that if put in a position of power, he would betray the whites he reached out to by "letting the black people do whatever they wanted".

Now, perhaps sensing that this kind of angle doesn't work quite as well in America as it used to, or just by fear of the "scarlet R" (as you phrase it), you've shifted to using the book as a testament to Obama's underlying emotional instability, as if it reveals him to be a person of dangerously strong mood swings, liable to crack under pressure.

I doubt this will work for you, or anyone you care to pass your ideas on to. First of all, Obama has made it clear that while he still stands by the overall message of the book, and is well aware that it will be mined for political reasons by people such as yourself, the voice is that of a much younger man, and no longer his. This may be difficult for you to understand, but many might well see his willingness both to deal with those important and charged issues of race in America as a young man and apparently move past them as an adult a sign of maturity, not weakness.

Second, given the events of the past few months, you'll have a hard time convincing anyone that Obama is prone to emotional swings. He has suffered several scandals recently, any one of which would have finished off a lesser man. Throughout it all, he has been unflappable, and as May 6th has shown us, unscathed. Even FOX's Chris Wallace, drilling him with the toughest questions Rove could muster, could not raise his ire or pin him into a vulnerable position.

In a way, its reassuring to see people like yourself grab at these disparate, occasionally contradicting narratives in attempts to frame Obama negatively. He is both an empty suit, and a liberal with bold, dangerous ideas. Both a teflon politician who has mastered the art of skillfully saying nothing, and an angry black liable to hurt America with profoundly radical thinking. Both a snobbish elitist and drug-using, basketball-loving minority. Both a hippy fantasizer that believes everyone can just get along, and, in the opinion of a National Review columnist, a man who shows a profoundly paranoid "us vs. them" mentality. But even with all that has been written, you have yet to find your silver bullet. And worse still, contradicted by what came before, each new tack seems less convincing and on the mark than the last.

Its grabbing at straws. It shows you don't really understand what you're up against, or just how formidable an opponent he really is. While I wasn't so sure 6 months ago, I'm beginning to suspect he will make short work of you and people like you this year.

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Train Stuffing in Japan

Welcome to Tokyo. I've been through this routine before. It's insane.



How is this even legal? If Amtrak pushed people into trains this way they would be sued by travellers, and probably arrested for some kind of health or fire code violation. If the UN packed refugees in a train this way the organizers would probably be charged with basic human rights violations, and rightfully so.

And yet millions pay to travel this way in Tokyo every day.

Why does everyone that comes here browse with Firefox and own a Mac?

My browser of choice, Firefox, now has 13% market share worldwide up from a miniscule 5% or so just a few short years ago. Microsoft's Internet Explorer, still the champ, has about 76%.

Yet when I check stats for this blog, an awful lot of people seem to be running Firefox. For example, As of noon today, I've had around 310 visitors according to google analytics, give or take a few hours. The breakdown is as follows:

Browsers

1. Firefox / Windows 45.16%
2. Internet Explorer / Windows 17.10%
3. Safari / Macintosh 12.90%
4. Firefox / Macintosh 10.32%
5. Firefox / Linux 6.45%
6. Opera / Windows 2.90%
7. Mozilla / Windows 1.29%
8. Safari / iPhone 1.29%
9. Mozilla / Linux 0.97%
10. Opera / Linux 0.65%

The dominant browser by far is Mozilla Firefox, with about 60% market share across all platforms. Explorer is reduced to 17.

While the numbers don't differ as dramatically, the number of people that visit here with macs is out of proportion too. Worldwide, Macs make up just a little over 7% of all computers, though this fingure is climbing at a surprisingly fast rate. PC's running windows make up around 92% of the market, although I've seen recent figures that see the number hitting 89% as Mac sales take off and small linux micro-notebooks (currently clogging the top seller list on amazon) dilute the market. But look at the stats for today-

Windows- 66.45%
Mac- 23.87%
Linux- 8.06%
iphone- 1.29%
ipod- 0.32%

That's a bit over triple what the rate for mac users should be.

Now, it's true that in the past few months I've blogged a fair bit about Apple, and even did a post about Firefox add-ons, and that could help bring in those visitors. But I actually noticed this trend long before I even owned a Mac, particularly wanted on myself, or even breathed a word about what browser I use.

It makes me think about demographics. Why are people that browse a Japan blog more likely to be using a given browser or computer, details that you would expect to be completely irrelevant? If Firefox and Mac continue to grow in popularity and marketshare, does that make groups of people that already use them to disproportionately high degrees trend-setters, and a bellweather of the software and technology the majority will be using down the road?

Not that there's anything particularly trend setting about this blog, but in a way it probably does. Just by having google reader and having a tendency to stumble onto blogs of any kind, an internet surfer is already somewhat more involved with computers than the average person, who usually just uses internet explorer as the default that their PC came with, without even thinking about what could be better. If you want to see what software and computers the general public will be using in a few years, take a look at what the people who already pay a lot of attention to these types of issues are starting to use.

The Macbook- Thin enough

The Macbook Air- Very thin.



The Macbook- Thin Enough.

Why do Rich People like "30 Rock" so much?

A few months ago I started watching 30 Rock, the screwball sitcom on NBC starring former Saturday Night Live head writer Tina Fey. The show is based on her days at SNL. She plays a producer/head writer for a live prime time comedy show on NBC, and most of the plot focuses on her dealings with her boss and her employees in the writer's room. Fey says that while the ridiculous plots are obviously made up, in terms of the relationships between the people working on the show and the way they behave go, it's more or less the same as SNL.

I enjoy it more than any sitcom I've seen in years, and right now it's the only TV show I watch regularly aside from the Daily Show. I did a google search to see if everyone back home liked it as much as I did, and found to my surprise that despite winning Emmys, the show's ratings are dismal, and at last count the show ranked somewhere around #113 in the ratings.

So why does NBC keep it alive? Much for the same reason that my other favorite TV show, the Daily Show, manages to attract every major presidential candidate despite having ratings nearly one third of their competition- demographics. These days, when sponsors look for shows to put ads on, it's not so much how many people watching that counts, it's who.

Apparently, 30 Rock is one of the more popular TV shows among affluent viewers, coming in at #11 last year (other NBC shows, such as Scrubs and The Office, see similar large boosts in popularity among the wealthy). More recently, among the very wealthy, it has begun to do even better still. It is now the second most popular TV show among people with incomes of $100,000 a year or higher.

Television is filled with rich characters. Every soap opera ever made features the young and beautiful wives and children of millionaires and billionaires. Shows like Gossip Girl more or less exist to detail their privileged lives. So why is it that if you actually are rich, you're statistically far more likely to be watching general ratings losers like 30 Rock? Here are some possible reasons-


Rich People Tend to Prefer Workplace Comedies

This also explains the popularity of The Office and Scrubs among this demographic- all 3 of these shows are workplace comedies. The truth is, most people that earn over 100,000 a year have great portions of their lives taken up by work. So they're more likely to relate to shows that focus on workplace comedy. While I haven't seen the data, I suspect that 20 years ago Murphy Brown saw similar trends.

That accounts for The Office, too. But while that shows general ratings are also respectable, 30 Rock skyrockets to number 2 all the way down from the prime time basement. I think there are other factors that account for its own jump. Namely-

30 Rock might be the only show on television that tells the story of a person in management sympathetically.

This may not be obvious at first, but 30 Rock details that plight and stress sources of people in management more than any show I've ever seen. Most shows, if they deal with workplace issues at all, treat bosses as objects of fear or ridicule. Consider some of the jokes on 30 Rock-

-The writers shirk in fear as Liz Lemon pitches a fit because her sandwich is missing.

-Lemon faces a dilemma when she realizes that the girlfriend of the guy she likes ranks among her 200+ employees, and that with cutbacks on the way, she now has the power to fire her.

-During contract negotiations, she becomes so angered at one of her cast members that she forces him to do the worm in order to keep his job.

-After putting him down in front of everyone else, Liz overhears a writer calling her a cunt. For the rest of the episode, she stews over whether or not she should fire him, while other people try to get her to calm down and not over-react.

Now to be sure, these were all just jokes, and the stories were written in such a way that as viewers, we see things through Lemon's eyes and sympathize with her actions. But how many other shows do you know that even approach that type of humor? And if you managed several people yourself, where else on TV could you go to find humor that relates to those types of situations from your side?

The show offers a form of realistic escapism.

One reason people like fiction is so they can imagine themselves leading a better or more exciting life. For most people, that makes shows like The Hills popular- if you're young and catty, in terms of the gossip and conflicts, it's like your own life in many ways, only more dramatic and interesting, and everyone is richer and better looking.

Does Tina Fey's character Liz Lemon provide that type of escapism? At first glance, Liz Lemon looks just as downtrodden and disheveled as any character on The Office. But underneath the insecurities that make her a sympathizable character, Lemon actually has quite a good life. She lives in Manhattan with a great job as executive producer on a highly-rated prime time TV show. That's not to say that her character is anywhere near as privileged or has things anywhere near as good as, say, one of the girls on The Hills. Far from it. But for someone making a living as a lawyer or as a middle management drone in a good corporate job, her character is living a dream of sorts; making a living doing something fun and creative. It's a humble dream, to be sure, but a realistic dream, the kind that seems more fulfilling because it actually borders on the real and possible. As crazy as the plots are, in terms of the job and the characters' lots in life, 30 Rock offers the kind of life you could actually picture yourself getting, or at least someone you know getting.


Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Why Japan isn't as Computer-literate as the U.S

Some time back I wrote this post about Japan getting left behind in the digital age, in response to an article in Newsweek Asia about Japan's slump in consumer electronics.

The other day on reddit I found an interesting follow-up article by on GT!Blog explaining how Japan's memory-intensive written form slowed its progress with micro-computers back in the early ages of PCs.

Today I noticed that another blog was referring traffic to my earlier post, so I thought I'd do an update with a link to the new article, to give those readers coming for that a little extra information about the subjects.

Turns out, those readers already know about that new article....because that's where the traffic was coming from in the first place. The hotlinked comment about interesting blog responses leads right back to me. It's a small internet world after all.

Sports, Games and Childhood

I remember reading an article by a cognitive psychologist back when basketball superstar Micheal Jordan tried (and failed) to start a second career as a baseball player.

Baseball seems pretty easy compared to basketball. There's a reason companies start softball teams instead of basketball ones- because it requires less athleticism to master the basics. So how did Jordan screw it up so badly?

According to the cognitive psychologist, it was just too late for him. There are complex cognitive processes that go into gauging where a fast moving ball is relative to your swing. Anyone can learn it if they start early enough...but like a second language (which children pick up with ease), after the age of 21, it becomes difficult to truly master it. With enough hard work, an older person that never played it as a child can get pretty good, but they'll never truly be a natural at it.

This rings pretty true to me. The only competitive sport I really played as a kid was soccer, and that's the only one I have a real grasp of the basics with, even though these days I get a lot more opportunities to practice basketball. Counting by raw hours spent playing over the past few years, I should be better at basketball than I am at soccer at this point. But I'm not.

I bring it up because of the video game Super Smash Bros. Brawl. The Wii I bought in December never became the time eater I worried it might, but Smash Bros remains a really fun game that I find myself playing sometimes. Unlike most video games, that focus on mastering a narrow set of actions (shoot the target, steer the car, etc) and become tiring and repetitive after a few weeks of play, Smash Bros has hundreds of move combinations, and the controls are so easy to manipulate and flexible that in some respects it simulates a real sport. Most importantly, it involves playing against real people, which leads to endless variations in what you can encounter in a match.

As much as I enjoy it, I've come to a sad realization: I will likely never be very good at it. I can memorize all the little moves and techniques, but when it gets right down to it, I just can't move as skillfully as the serious players. It might seem like they're just tapping their fingers and thumbs on a controller rather than playing a real sport. In terms of physical condition they might be sorely lacking compared to an athlete, but in terms of coordination, skill, response speed and rapid decisions, they're already all the way over in the real sport category. And the average person just can't pick up what they do offhand. They move so fast you can't even see what they're doing to one another in a match unless you put the video in slow motion.

How do they do it? In the name of um, scientific inquiry I found an online forum where they gather and discuss moves and asked how long it took them to get good. Most of them are between 14-18 years old, and have been playing various versions of the 12-year-old game for about ten years, since they were 5 or 6 years old in most cases.

Which means I'm probably getting beaten by kids in most cases aren't old enough to drive yet. The only thing more embarrassing than being an adult that blows off steam playing a Nintendo game...is being an adult that plays that game, and often gets his ass kicked by kids that in many cases aren't even out junior high yet.

Presentations

There's a constant push at my university for lecturers to conduct research, publish and present. Most of my time not teaching is spent throwing ideas back and forth about experimental designs, and finding journals to submit papers to and conferences to present at. Another teacher set up a white board with every ESL Conference going on in the world this year. The university pays our expenses if we go to any of them.

When we first got this job, me and Nick (formerly of Brighten College, now working at the same place) joked about finding conferences in Hawaii to present at. Actually, looking at the options available that isn't as far-fetched as it sounded at first. A big conference is in Bali this year, and the University of Hawaii in Manoa has a first rate Applied Linguistics program and likely hosts some stuff from time to time.

One conference that has caught everyone's attention is going on in Cambodia. Not exactly a tranquil vacation spot, but everyone is curious to see it. I've been there a couple times already, but wouldn't mind going back. Its during the long spring break, so I could hop over to Thailand afterward. And then I got to thinking...maybe we can all gang-submit proposals, get accepted simultaneously, and all descend on Cambodia as a big group, and once its over, just stay in Southeast Asia (off the university tab, of course).

In Japan a lot of conferences go on during long weekends, but if I plan trips over summer and spring breaks my work related travel and vacations could wind up blending together and becoming one of the same.

Friday, April 25, 2008

Rap is Dying

Just a few years ago names like 50 Cent and Eminem ruled the charts, but sales of hard rap have plummeted to pathetic new lows. Look at what rap has to show for itself on the charts this week-

Top 30 Album Sales - Hip Hop

Rank Artist Album This Week Total





11
Rick Ross
Trilla
26,735
443,114
















That's about it for the top 30. Hip Hop DX tries to fluff up the numbers by including "R&B" such as Mariah Carey's new album, the manufactured pop groups Dannity Kane and Day 26 and the new Gnarles Barkley, which doesn't have a single rap on it anywhere (Gnarles Barkley's vocalist is a successful rapper-turned-singer).

Even the Top 30's sole entry Rick Ross isn't doing so well. His album has apparently peaked out, leaving the top 10 without even reaching Gold status, let alone platinum.

Rap did change pop music, and it's true that it has an influence on many other acts. For example, the new Madonna album is produced by Timbaland and the Neptunes, who flavor her usual pop with some new sounds (These producers seem to see the writing on the wall- all their latest high-profile clients have been singers). And rappers-turned-singers such as Cee-lo of Gnarles Barkley that have broken out of the standard mold and brought new sounds into their music have continued to see success. But the prototypical rapper going on about guns and selling crack seems to finally be going out of style.